Model Predictions
| Model | UCF Knights | SMU Mustangs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 56.2% | 43.8% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 58.6% | 41.4% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 33.6% | 66.4% | +3.8 | ✓ (7.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 30.5% | 69.5% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 8.1% | 91.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 8.2% | 91.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: SMU Mustangs +11 (70-59). Predictions use season-end ratings.
UCF Knights
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nathan Laing | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| B.J. Taylor * | 40 | 7-17 | 4-9 | 2-3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 20 | 5 | - |
| Matt Williams * | 40 | 1-7 | 1-6 | 2-2 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 2 | - |
| A.J. Davis * | 31 | 1-7 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 2 | - |
| Tacko Fall * | 28 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 9 | - |
| Nick Banyard * | 28 | 6-9 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 7 | - |
| Tanksley Efianayi | 23 | 3-6 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 6 | - |
| Chad Brown | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - |
SMU Mustangs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sterling Brown * | 40 | 6-9 | 3-4 | 7-7 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 22 | 20 | - |
| Semi Ojeleye * | 38 | 4-9 | 2-5 | 7-8 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 17 | 13 | - |
| Shake Milton * | 38 | 6-12 | 4-9 | 0-3 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 14 | - |
| Ben Moore * | 35 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 4 | - |
| Jarrey Foster * | 28 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 10 | - |
| Ben Emelogu | 21 | 0-4 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter