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2017-03-11

Model Predictions

Model Northwestern Wildcats Wisconsin Badgers Spread Result
Elo 10.8% 89.2% -
Bradley-Terry 41.6% 58.4% -
Margin 21.4% 78.6% +7.2 (20.8 off)
Pythagorean 36.1% 63.9% -
Efficiency 10.8% 89.2% -
Adjusted Efficiency 25.2% 74.8% -
Log Adjusted 24.9% 75.1% -

Actual: Wisconsin Badgers +28 (76-48). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Northwestern Wildcats

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Pardon * 32 3-7 0-0 1-1 7 0 0 0 1 7 6 -
B. McIntosh * 31 4-12 0-2 0-0 2 1 0 0 1 8 -2 -
S. Lindsey * 29 5-10 1-4 5-6 1 0 0 0 2 16 5 -
V. Law * 27 2-8 0-1 0-0 1 1 1 0 0 4 -1 -
S. Lumpkin * 23 0-1 0-1 1-2 2 0 1 0 2 1 1 -
G. Skelly 18 1-5 1-4 0-0 4 0 1 0 2 3 1 -
N. Taphorn 17 1-2 1-1 0-0 1 1 0 0 1 3 2 -
B. Benson 8 1-2 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 2 1 -
I. Brown 8 1-4 0-0 2-2 1 1 0 0 1 4 1 -
J. Ash 7 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 1 1 0 1 0 1 -

Wisconsin Badgers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
N. Hayes-Davis * 33 7-11 2-2 2-4 10 2 1 0 0 18 20 -
Z. Showalter * 30 4-7 2-4 0-0 1 2 2 0 1 10 7 -
E. Happ * 28 4-6 0-0 8-11 8 1 1 0 2 16 18 -
V. Brown * 27 3-7 2-5 0-0 8 1 0 1 2 8 9 -
B. Koenig * 26 3-12 2-9 0-0 1 2 1 2 0 8 2 -
D. Trice 19 2-6 2-4 0-0 1 3 2 0 3 6 3 -
J. Hill 11 2-5 1-4 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 5 2 -
B. Pritzl 9 1-1 1-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 3 2 -
A. Illikainen 7 1-1 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 0 0 2 4 -
A. Moesch 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
T.J. Schlundt 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
C. Thomas IV 2 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
A. Van Vliet 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -

* = starter