๐Ÿปโฌ‡๏ธ๐Ÿ€

@
2017-03-11

Model Predictions

Model Alabama Crimson Tide Kentucky Wildcats Spread Result
Elo 59.5% 40.5% - โœ—
Bradley-Terry 31.2% 68.8% - โœ“
Margin 40.9% 59.1% +2.0 โœ“ (3.0 off)
Pythagorean 34.3% 65.7% - โœ“
Efficiency 8.7% 91.3% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 36.4% 63.6% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 36.6% 63.4% - โœ“

Actual: Kentucky Wildcats +5 (79-74). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Alabama Crimson Tide

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Lawson Schaffer 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Braxton Key * 36 4-15 0-1 3-6 6 4 0 0 3 11 3 -
Riley Norris * 35 1-6 1-5 6-8 6 0 0 0 2 9 7 -
Dazon Ingram * 34 7-12 0-2 3-3 4 2 0 0 4 17 7 -
Jimmie Taylor * 24 3-6 0-0 1-1 3 1 1 1 0 7 7 -
Bola Olaniyan * 14 4-4 0-0 0-0 4 1 0 0 0 8 9 -
Avery Johnson 23 3-11 1-4 0-0 1 2 1 0 1 7 -1 -
Donta Hall 16 2-2 0-0 1-1 3 0 2 2 0 5 10 -
Corban Collins 15 3-3 1-1 1-1 1 0 0 0 1 8 5 -
Ar'Mond Davis 3 1-3 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 2 -1 -

Kentucky Wildcats

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Bam Adebayo * 39 3-4 0-0 4-6 9 0 3 1 1 10 18 -
Malik Monk * 35 6-14 2-5 6-10 4 2 0 0 3 20 9 -
De'Aaron Fox * 35 8-12 1-2 11-15 5 2 2 0 5 28 20 -
Derek Willis * 20 2-5 2-3 0-0 2 1 0 1 0 6 5 -
Isaiah Briscoe * 18 1-3 0-1 4-5 1 3 1 0 1 6 7 -
Dominique Hawkins 29 2-3 1-1 2-2 0 1 1 0 0 7 6 -
Wenyen Gabriel 17 1-2 0-1 0-1 4 1 0 0 1 2 4 -
Mychal Mulder 6 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
Isaac Humphries 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 -

* = starter