Model Predictions
| Model | Alabama Crimson Tide | Kentucky Wildcats | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 59.5% | 40.5% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 31.2% | 68.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 40.9% | 59.1% | +2.0 | ✓ (3.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 34.3% | 65.7% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 8.7% | 91.3% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 36.4% | 63.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 36.6% | 63.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Kentucky Wildcats +5 (79-74). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Alabama Crimson Tide
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| L. Schaffer | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| B. Key * | 36 | 4-15 | 0-1 | 3-6 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 3 | - |
| R. Norris * | 35 | 1-6 | 1-5 | 6-8 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 7 | - |
| D. Ingram * | 34 | 7-12 | 0-2 | 3-3 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 17 | 7 | - |
| J. Taylor * | 24 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 7 | - |
| B. Olaniyan * | 14 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 9 | - |
| A. Johnson Jr. | 23 | 3-11 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | -1 | - |
| D. Hall | 16 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 10 | - |
| C. Collins | 15 | 3-3 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 5 | - |
| A. Davis | 3 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -1 | - |
Kentucky Wildcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| B. Adebayo * | 39 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 9 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 18 | - |
| M. Monk * | 35 | 6-14 | 2-5 | 6-10 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 20 | 9 | - |
| D. Fox * | 35 | 8-12 | 1-2 | 11-15 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 28 | 20 | - |
| D. Willis * | 20 | 2-5 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 5 | - |
| I. Briscoe * | 18 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 4-5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 7 | - |
| D. Hawkins | 29 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 6 | - |
| W. Gabriel | 17 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | - |
| M. Mulder | 6 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| I. Humphries | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter