Model Predictions
| Model | San Diego State Aztecs | Colorado State Rams | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 78.6% | 21.4% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 48.4% | 51.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 62.8% | 37.2% | -2.9 | ✗ (10.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 41.5% | 58.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 13.3% | 86.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 13.2% | 86.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Colorado State Rams +8 (71-63). Predictions use season-end ratings.
San Diego State Aztecs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Kell | 37 | 4-13 | 1-4 | 6-7 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 11 | - |
| D. Allen | 33 | 2-7 | 0-1 | 0-2 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 3 | - |
| J. Hemsley | 33 | 5-12 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 1 | - |
| M. Pope | 30 | 6-10 | 2-2 | 4-6 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 18 | 18 | - |
| V. Izundu | 19 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Z. Cheatham | 19 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 7 | - |
| M. Montana | 13 | 1-6 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | -5 | - |
| M. Shrigley | 10 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
| D. Williams | 6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
Colorado State Rams
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G. Clavell | 40 | 6-16 | 1-7 | 8-10 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 4 | 21 | 10 | - |
| E. Omogbo | 36 | 6-9 | 1-2 | 3-5 | 11 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 16 | 18 | - |
| P. Nixon | 35 | 4-11 | 1-6 | 7-8 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 12 | - |
| J.D. Paige | 34 | 3-5 | 3-3 | 2-2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 8 | - |
| B. Koelliker | 31 | 2-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 8 | - |
| N. Carvacho | 13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - |
| A. Bonner | 11 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | - |
* = starter