Model Predictions
| Model | San Diego State Aztecs | Boise State Broncos | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 76.0% | 24.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 36.7% | 63.3% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 54.4% | 45.6% | -1.0 | ✓ (18.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 74.8% | 25.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 67.9% | 32.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 67.4% | 32.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Boise State Broncos -19 (68-87). Predictions use season-end ratings.
San Diego State Aztecs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Allen | 36 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 4-8 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 13 | - |
| T. Kell | 35 | 3-14 | 0-3 | 4-5 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 9 | - |
| M. Pope | 25 | 7-14 | 1-1 | 7-8 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 22 | 20 | - |
| J. Hemsley | 23 | 4-7 | 2-3 | 0-4 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 5 | - |
| M. Montana | 22 | 7-8 | 5-6 | 2-3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 21 | 17 | - |
| M. Shrigley | 20 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Z. Cheatham | 19 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 3-5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 11 | - |
| V. Izundu | 13 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 5 | - |
| D. Williams | 7 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
Boise State Broncos
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N. Duncan | 34 | 5-9 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 8 | - |
| P. Austin | 32 | 4-10 | 0-1 | 7-8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 13 | - |
| C. Hutchison | 25 | 4-13 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 8 | -3 | - |
| J. Reid | 21 | 4-6 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 2 | - |
| D. Wacker | 20 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5 | - |
| A. Hobbs | 19 | 4-5 | 1-1 | 3-4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 9 | - |
| J. Jessup | 19 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | - |
| Z. Haney | 14 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| M. Dickinson | 13 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | - |
| R. Jorch | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| M. Harwell | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter