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2017-03-09

Model Predictions

Model San Diego State Aztecs Boise State Broncos Spread Result
Elo 76.0% 24.0% -
Bradley-Terry 36.7% 63.3% -
Margin 54.4% 45.6% -1.0 (18.0 off)
Pythagorean 74.8% 25.2% -
Adjusted Efficiency 67.9% 32.1% -
Log Adjusted 67.4% 32.6% -

Actual: Boise State Broncos -19 (68-87). Predictions use season-end ratings.

San Diego State Aztecs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Allen 36 2-2 1-1 4-8 4 2 1 1 2 9 13 -
T. Kell 35 3-14 0-3 4-5 6 5 1 2 1 10 9 -
M. Pope 25 7-14 1-1 7-8 10 2 0 1 1 22 20 -
J. Hemsley 23 4-7 2-3 0-4 2 3 0 0 3 10 5 -
M. Montana 22 7-8 5-6 2-3 4 0 0 0 0 21 17 -
M. Shrigley 20 1-1 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 0 0 2 4 -
Z. Cheatham 19 3-3 0-0 3-5 5 0 0 1 1 9 11 -
V. Izundu 13 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 4 1 2 5 -
D. Williams 7 1-3 0-0 0-0 0 2 1 0 0 2 2 -

Boise State Broncos

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
N. Duncan 34 5-9 5-8 0-0 1 2 1 0 2 15 8 -
P. Austin 32 4-10 0-1 7-8 4 3 1 0 0 15 13 -
C. Hutchison 25 4-13 0-2 0-0 4 2 0 0 4 8 -3 -
J. Reid 21 4-6 2-3 0-0 0 0 0 0 2 10 2 -
D. Wacker 20 1-1 0-0 1-2 2 0 0 1 0 3 5 -
A. Hobbs 19 4-5 1-1 3-4 3 0 0 0 1 12 9 -
J. Jessup 19 0-2 0-2 2-2 2 3 0 1 0 2 6 -
Z. Haney 14 0-2 0-1 0-0 1 0 1 0 1 0 -1 -
M. Dickinson 13 1-3 1-2 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 3 0 -
R. Jorch 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
M. Harwell 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -

* = starter