Model Predictions
| Model | Air Force Falcons | Colorado State Rams | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 4.9% | 95.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 15.8% | 84.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 5.5% | 94.5% | +15.7 | ✓ (10.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 26.5% | 73.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Colorado State Rams +26 (81-55). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Air Force Falcons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lavelle Scottie | 34 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 14 | - |
| Hayden Graham | 29 | 5-10 | 3-5 | 2-2 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 9 | - |
| Frank Toohey | 21 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 6 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 14 | - |
| Jacob Van | 21 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 1 | - |
| Zach Kocur | 18 | 2-9 | 0-6 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | -4 | - |
| Trevor Lyons | 16 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Ryan Manning | 15 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -2 | - |
| Sid Tomes | 11 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| C.J. Siples | 9 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | - |
| Caleb Morris | 7 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| LeSean Brown | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| R. Swan | 6 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | - |
| Pervis Louder | 4 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -3 | - |
| Dane Norman | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
Colorado State Rams
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J.D. Paige | 36 | 1-7 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | - |
| Prentiss Nixon | 35 | 4-15 | 1-6 | 6-6 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 9 | - |
| Gian Clavell | 29 | 10-16 | 6-11 | 4-4 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 30 | 25 | - |
| Nico Carvacho | 27 | 5-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 17 | - |
| A. Bonner | 23 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 8 | - |
| Braden Koelliker | 23 | 3-5 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 12 | - |
| Emmanuel Omogbo | 23 | 6-8 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 4 | - |
| Juan Sabino | 4 | 0-3 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3 | - |
* = starter