Model Predictions
| Model | UL Monroe Warhawks | Texas State Bobcats | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 20.1% | 79.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 18.1% | 81.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 19.4% | 80.6% | +7.8 | ✓ (4.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 29.9% | 70.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 19.5% | 80.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 19.5% | 80.5% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 32.3% | 67.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Texas State Bobcats +12 (63-51). Predictions use season-end ratings.
UL Monroe Warhawks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Travis Munnings | 40 | 6-19 | 3-9 | 3-4 | 10 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 18 | 13 | - |
| Nick Coppola | 33 | 1-8 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | - |
| Marcus Washington | 32 | 7-15 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 10 | - |
| Sam Alabakis | 25 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 7 | - |
| Marvin Jean-Pierre | 25 | 3-7 | 0-4 | 0-1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 0 | - |
| Prince Cooper | 19 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -2 | - |
| Sam McDaniel | 17 | 0-4 | 0-3 | 1-2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | - |
| Roderick Taylor | 7 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Wade Martin | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
Texas State Bobcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nijal Pearson | 32 | 6-10 | 1-2 | 3-3 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 16 | 19 | - |
| Nedeljko Prijovic | 27 | 3-6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 8 | - |
| Immanuel King | 25 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 6 | 11 | - |
| Bobby Conley | 23 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 2-3 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 6 | - |
| Ojai Black | 23 | 3-5 | 1-1 | 2-4 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 9 | - |
| Marlin Davis | 18 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 6 | - |
| Tyler Blount | 14 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Maxwell Starwood | 12 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | -2 | - |
| Kavin Gilder-Tilbury | 12 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | - |
| Deris Duncan | 8 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Courtney Julien | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Nathan Josephs | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter