Model Predictions
| Model | App State Mountaineers | Little Rock Trojans | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 30.4% | 69.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 31.6% | 68.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 16.6% | 83.4% | +8.9 | ✓ (7.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 60.5% | 39.5% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Little Rock Trojans +16 (69-53). Predictions use season-end ratings.
App State Mountaineers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q. Murray | 39 | 7-13 | 2-7 | 4-5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 20 | 10 | - |
| B. Carter | 36 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 5 | - |
| J. Jones | 35 | 5-14 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 5 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 6 | - |
| M. Story | 33 | 1-8 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 5 | - |
| A. Bassett-Smith | 25 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 2 | - |
| B. Plummer | 13 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| A. Hampton | 11 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| C. Cole | 4 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| A. Driver | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
Little Rock Trojans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Townson | 40 | 7-12 | 3-6 | 2-2 | 2 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 19 | 18 | - |
| R. DeGray | 37 | 3-10 | 0-0 | 5-8 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 14 | - |
| K. Pratt | 36 | 10-17 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 20 | 13 | - |
| S. Collins | 36 | 5-11 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 7 | - |
| K. Collier | 28 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 9 | - |
| K. Shepard | 16 | 0-6 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | - |
| C. Dillard | 7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
* = starter