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2017-03-09

Model Predictions

Model App State Mountaineers Little Rock Trojans Spread Result
ELO 30.4% 69.6% -
Bradley-Terry 31.6% 68.4% -
Margin 16.6% 83.4% +8.9 (7.1 off)
Pythagorean 60.5% 39.5% -

Actual: Little Rock Trojans +16 (69-53). Predictions use season-end ratings.

App State Mountaineers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers
Q. Murray 39 7-13 2-7 4-5 3 2 2 20 10
B. Carter 36 4-8 - -1 5 1 1 2 8 5
J. Jones 35 5-14 - -2 5 6 1 2 10 6
M. Story 33 1-8 1-2 2-2 8 2 1 3 5 5
A. Bassett-Smith 25 2-7 - 2-2 4 1 2 6 2
B. Plummer 13 1-1 - - 1 2 2
A. Hampton 11 1-1 - - 1 2 2
C. Cole 4 -2 -1 - 1 -1
A. Driver 4 -1 - - -1

Little Rock Trojans

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers
M. Townson 40 7-12 3-6 2-2 2 7 2 19 18
R. DeGray 37 3-10 - 5-8 9 3 1 1 1 11 14
K. Pratt 36 10-17 - -2 8 2 1 1 20 13
S. Collins 36 5-11 1-4 - 6 2 1 11 7
K. Collier 28 3-5 - - 7 4 3 6 9
K. Shepard 16 -6 -1 2-2 3 5 1 2 5
C. Dillard 7 -1 - - 2 1 2

* = starter