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2017-03-08

Model Predictions

Model Buffalo Bulls Ball State Cardinals Spread Result
Elo 11.7% 88.3% -
Bradley-Terry 46.6% 53.4% -
Margin 43.8% 56.2% +1.4 (5.4 off)
Pythagorean 47.5% 52.5% -

Actual: Ball State Cardinals -4 (65-69). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Buffalo Bulls

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
S. Reid * 40 5-15 1-4 7-8 2 6 2 0 3 18 10 -
J. Smith * 40 7-19 0-7 0-2 9 1 1 0 3 14 3 -
M. Suchan * 31 4-11 0-0 0-0 8 0 4 0 0 8 9 -
K. Ups * 29 2-5 0-1 2-5 6 6 0 0 1 6 12 -
C. Oursler * 27 4-7 0-0 1-2 8 0 1 1 1 9 11 -
S. Hemphill 18 3-5 0-0 1-2 4 3 0 1 1 7 9 -
T. Onwuka 11 2-2 0-0 1-1 2 0 0 1 1 5 5 -
C. Wilkins 4 1-3 0-2 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 2 0 -

Ball State Cardinals

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
C. Grande * 40 5-10 0-3 2-2 4 10 2 1 3 12 16 -
M. Monaco * 39 10-18 7-12 0-0 5 0 0 0 3 27 11 -
J. Morrison * 34 1-6 1-6 0-0 5 2 2 1 1 3 6 -
R. Bennett * 25 2-9 0-2 4-5 2 1 0 4 0 8 6 -
C. Hosea * 19 1-2 0-0 0-0 3 1 0 0 1 2 3 -
D. Washington-Mabon 26 3-6 0-0 3-6 9 0 2 1 2 9 13 -
F. Frazier 17 2-8 0-0 0-0 3 2 0 0 3 4 -2 -

* = starter