Model Predictions
| Model | Michigan State Spartans | Minnesota Golden Gophers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 86.1% | 13.9% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 61.8% | 38.2% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 79.4% | 20.6% | -7.4 | ✗ (12.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 59.3% | 40.7% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 73.3% | 26.7% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 78.5% | 21.5% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 78.6% | 21.4% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Minnesota Golden Gophers +5 (63-58). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Michigan State Spartans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Miles Bridges | 35 | 7-20 | 2-11 | 4-4 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 20 | 10 | - |
| Matt McQuaid | 29 | 2-9 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 0 | - |
| L. Nairn Jr. | 29 | 2-6 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 4 | - |
| A. Ellis III | 29 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 2-3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 4 | - |
| Joshua Langford | 22 | 2-6 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 4 | - |
| Nick Ward | 20 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 7-11 | 11 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 15 | - |
| Kenny Goins | 19 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 7 | - |
| Cassius Winston | 12 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Kyle Ahrens | 5 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
Minnesota Golden Gophers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nate Mason | 36 | 2-14 | 0-2 | 6-7 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 1 | - |
| Reggie Lynch | 35 | 6-7 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 16 | 18 | - |
| Amir Coffey | 29 | 3-9 | 0-1 | 7-8 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 4 | - |
| Akeem Springs | 28 | 2-6 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 3 | - |
| Dupree McBrayer | 26 | 3-5 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 8 | - |
| Jordan Murphy | 21 | 5-9 | 0-1 | 0-2 | 13 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 16 | - |
| Eric Curry | 18 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - |
| Bakary Konate | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Michael Hurt | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter