Model Predictions
| Model | Virginia Cavaliers | Notre Dame Fighting Irish | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 86.4% | 13.6% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 56.9% | 43.1% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 61.1% | 38.9% | -2.5 | ✗ (15.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 50.3% | 49.7% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 56.4% | 43.6% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 57.4% | 42.6% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 57.0% | 43.0% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Notre Dame Fighting Irish +13 (71-58). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Virginia Cavaliers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| L. Perrantes | 32 | 1-9 | 0-3 | 1-2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 | -5 | - |
| D. Hall | 30 | 5-7 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 14 | - |
| D. Thompson | 28 | 4-7 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 4 | - |
| K. Guy | 25 | 0-8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -3 | - |
| T. Jerome | 22 | 3-7 | 2-6 | 2-2 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 11 | - |
| I. Wilkins | 14 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | - |
| J. Reuter | 13 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 3 | - |
| M. Shayok | 13 | 4-6 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 5 | - |
| J. Salt | 12 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - |
| M. Diakite | 11 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
Notre Dame Fighting Irish
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Farrell | 37 | 4-8 | 1-3 | 5-7 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 11 | - |
| V.J. Beachem | 37 | 5-9 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 10 | - |
| S. Vasturia | 37 | 4-6 | 0-2 | 4-4 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 17 | - |
| B. Colson | 33 | 6-14 | 1-3 | 8-11 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 21 | 18 | - |
| R. Pflueger | 28 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 6 | - |
| T. Gibbs | 15 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | - |
| M. Geben | 10 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 2 | - |
| M. Ryan | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| A. Torres | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter