Model Predictions
| Model | Pittsburgh Panthers | Virginia Cavaliers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 16.3% | 83.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 22.2% | 77.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 7.1% | 92.9% | +14.1 | ✓ (2.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 30.3% | 69.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 2.6% | 97.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 2.3% | 97.7% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 21.5% | 78.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Virginia Cavaliers +12 (75-63). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Pittsburgh Panthers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zach Smith | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Jamel Artis * | 37 | 6-9 | 4-6 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 18 | 13 | - |
| Chris Jones * | 34 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 3-4 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 8 | - |
| Cameron Johnson * | 34 | 6-11 | 4-7 | 4-4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 20 | 10 | - |
| Michael Young * | 33 | 3-12 | 0-6 | 8-11 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 14 | 6 | - |
| Sheldon Jeter * | 31 | 2-5 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 12 | - |
| Ryan Luther | 13 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Jonathan Milligan | 8 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -3 | - |
| Rozelle Nix | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Damon Wilson | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Corey Manigault | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Virginia Cavaliers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Guy * | 32 | 7-12 | 4-6 | 2-2 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 20 | 9 | - |
| Dallin Hall * | 31 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 3-5 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 7 | - |
| L. Perrantes * | 30 | 4-9 | 2-5 | 5-6 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 13 | - |
| I. Wilkins * | 23 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 14 | - |
| J. Salt * | 13 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | - |
| T. Jerome | 28 | 3-7 | 3-6 | 2-2 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 13 | - |
| D. Thompson | 16 | 2-4 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 3 | - |
| M. Diakite | 11 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
| M. Shayok | 9 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| J. Reuter | 7 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
* = starter