Model Predictions
| Model | Memphis Tigers | UCF Knights | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 34.2% | 65.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 37.8% | 62.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 45.5% | 54.5% | +1.0 | ✓ (29.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 17.7% | 82.3% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 17.8% | 82.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 17.5% | 82.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: UCF Knights +30 (84-54). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Memphis Tigers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dedric Lawson | 34 | 3-14 | 1-2 | 5-6 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 10 | - |
| Jeremiah Martin | 33 | 5-10 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 8 | - |
| K.J. Lawson | 31 | 4-10 | 0-1 | 2-3 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 7 | - |
| Jimario Rivers | 30 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 3 | - |
| Markel Crawford | 21 | 1-6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -2 | - |
| Craig Randall | 16 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Keon Clergeot | 15 | 1-6 | 0-3 | 4-5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | -1 | - |
| Jake McDowell | 5 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - |
| Chad Rykhoek | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Christian Kessee | 4 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | - |
| Jonathan Bins | 3 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
| Alex Moffatt | 3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
UCF Knights
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nick Banyard | 34 | 5-10 | 1-4 | 1-1 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 9 | - |
| A.J. Davis | 32 | 2-6 | 2-2 | 2-4 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 11 | - |
| Matt Williams | 31 | 7-10 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 19 | 13 | - |
| B.J. Taylor | 29 | 6-12 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 9 | - |
| Chad Brown | 19 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 11 | - |
| Tanksley Efianayi | 18 | 4-5 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 11 | - |
| Tacko Fall | 16 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 11 | - |
| Nathan Laing | 13 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 3 | - |
| Djordjije Mumin | 4 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | - |
| Tate Morse | 3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Brock Stephenson | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter