Model Predictions
| Model | Cal Poly Mustangs | UC Davis Aggies | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 17.4% | 82.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 13.3% | 86.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 16.8% | 83.2% | +8.8 | ✓ (2.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 29.5% | 70.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 6.3% | 93.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 6.0% | 94.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: UC Davis Aggies +11 (66-55). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Cal Poly Mustangs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Fields | 38 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 1 | - |
| R. Shipley | 30 | 6-14 | 5-9 | 2-2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 19 | 6 | - |
| V. Joseph | 29 | 2-11 | 0-3 | 3-3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 7 | -3 | - |
| Z. Gordon | 27 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 12 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 9 | 20 | - |
| L. Meikle | 22 | 3-6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 3 | - |
| K. Toth | 22 | 2-7 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4 | - |
| J. Niziol | 18 | 0-5 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| H. Hollingsworth | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 6 | - |
| A. Abrams | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| T. John | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
UC Davis Aggies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| L. White | 36 | 4-7 | 3-5 | 2-2 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 13 | 21 | - |
| D. Graham | 33 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 8 | 1 | - |
| C. Moneke | 32 | 4-15 | 0-0 | 3-5 | 18 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 11 | 17 | - |
| B. Lemar | 28 | 4-8 | 1-1 | 9-10 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 18 | 9 | - |
| J.T. Adenrele | 23 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 3-5 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 15 | - |
| S. Schneider | 21 | 1-11 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -3 | - |
| G. Goode | 17 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | - |
| M. Henn | 7 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -1 | - |
| M. Onyebalu | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter