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2017-03-08

Model Predictions

Model App State Mountaineers Troy Trojans Spread Result
Elo 18.9% 81.1% -
Bradley-Terry 34.3% 65.7% -
Margin 32.7% 67.3% +4.0 (16.0 off)

Actual: Troy Trojans +20 (84-64). Predictions use season-end ratings.

App State Mountaineers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
C. Hinton * 35 2-3 1-2 0-0 8 1 1 0 0 5 12 -
R. Shabazz * 34 8-17 3-6 3-5 2 1 0 0 1 22 7 -
J. Babic * 26 1-6 0-4 4-4 2 0 0 0 1 6 1 -
G. Kinney * 25 3-7 0-0 2-3 4 2 1 0 6 8 2 -
I. Johnson * 22 4-6 0-1 2-3 6 0 0 2 1 10 11 -
P. Good 20 0-2 0-2 0-0 2 3 1 0 0 0 4 -
T. Johnson 16 5-7 0-0 1-2 4 0 0 0 1 11 7 -
B. Holley 11 1-3 0-2 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 2 -1 -
J. Wilson 7 0-3 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 -2 -
K. Kerley 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
M. O'Boyle 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Z. Cottrell 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 1 -
T. Ford 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Troy Trojans

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Varnado * 32 8-14 0-1 1-3 6 0 1 0 0 17 10 -
W. Person * 29 8-13 5-6 8-9 2 1 1 0 2 29 18 -
J. Davis Jr. * 29 2-4 1-2 0-0 5 0 0 0 0 5 6 -
K. Baker * 27 1-4 1-4 0-0 5 9 3 0 1 3 15 -
D. Walker * 25 1-4 0-1 0-0 2 2 0 0 0 2 2 -
J. Hollimon 22 7-11 1-2 1-2 0 2 0 0 0 16 7 -
A. Hicks 11 2-2 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 2 4 2 -
D. Peace 11 3-4 0-0 2-2 2 3 1 0 0 8 10 -
B.J. Miller 9 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 2 0 0 0 0 2 -
J. Moravek 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
S. Hopkins 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
W. Moreman 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
A. Ariri 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter