Model Predictions
| Model | Evansville Purple Aces | Missouri State Bears | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 6.1% | 93.9% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 3.1% | 96.9% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 0.6% | 99.4% | +28.4 | ✗ (34.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 8.0% | 92.0% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Missouri State Bears -6 (59-65). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Evansville Purple Aces
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Williams | 40 | 5-11 | 2-5 | 1-4 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 13 | 4 | - |
| S. Dickey | 38 | 4-12 | 2-8 | 2-3 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 10 | - |
| K. Gasper | 38 | 6-12 | 4-6 | 3-4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 19 | 9 | - |
| S. Robinson | 35 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 8 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 12 | - |
| B. Dossett | 32 | 5-11 | 0-3 | 4-4 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 10 | - |
| M. Lively | 10 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
| A. Hawkins | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | - |
Missouri State Bears
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| L. Fruendt | 35 | 9-25 | 4-12 | 4-4 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 26 | 3 | - |
| L. Hughes | 34 | 4-9 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 7 | - |
| A. Buckley | 29 | 1-8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| A. Holt | 27 | 1-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 13 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 10 | - |
| D. Gitzen | 24 | 3-9 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 10 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 12 | - |
| A. Willard | 22 | 2-10 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | -3 | - |
| L. Polowy | 8 | 2-3 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 4 | - |
| O. Osemenam | 8 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| R. Swartz | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | - |
| S. Ealy | 5 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter