Model Predictions
| Model | Fairfield Stags | Rider Broncs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 73.4% | 26.6% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 47.5% | 52.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 49.0% | 51.0% | +0.2 | ✓ (12.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 62.1% | 37.9% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Rider Broncs +13 (49-36). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Fairfield Stags
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Smith | 36 | 5-11 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 13 | 9 | - |
| C. Foley | 35 | 1-7 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | - |
| S. Cooper | 31 | 1-8 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | -2 | - |
| K. Landy | 30 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 1 | - |
| K. Carey | 27 | 3-9 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 2 | - |
| K. Miller | 18 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 6 | - |
| S. Kramer | 13 | 0-4 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -3 | - |
| M. Hollenshead | 10 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
| N. Bus | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| K. McLaughlin | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Rider Broncs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Duggan | 40 | 6-15 | 0-0 | 3-6 | 20 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 15 | 19 | - |
| K. Hoskova | 37 | 3-11 | 0-1 | 5-6 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 11 | - |
| T. Wentzel | 31 | 2-6 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 5 | - |
| L. Posset | 30 | 2-5 | 2-3 | 5-8 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 10 | - |
| S. Tolusso | 29 | 0-6 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | -3 | - |
| S. Johnson | 23 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 1 | - |
| Y. Dogan | 10 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | - |
| K. Olikhver | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| T. Goodman | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| J. Johnson | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter