Model Predictions
| Model | UNLV Rebels | San Diego State Aztecs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 7.4% | 92.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 35.2% | 64.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 13.1% | 86.9% | +10.4 | ✓ (0.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 4.7% | 95.3% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 5.7% | 94.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 5.9% | 94.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: San Diego State Aztecs +10 (62-52). Predictions use season-end ratings.
UNLV Rebels
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Jones | 43 | 6-15 | 0-0 | 4-8 | 8 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 16 | 7 | - |
| U. Ofoegbu | 32 | 0-5 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -1 | - |
| C. Dembele * | 41 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 8 | - |
| K. Clyburn * | 38 | 2-8 | 0-2 | 3-6 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 6 | - |
| J. Mooring * | 34 | 6-15 | 4-8 | 2-2 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 10 | - |
| J. Poyser | 28 | 2-9 | 0-3 | 1-1 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 2 | - |
| T. Baxter Jr. | 6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Z. Morgan | 3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
San Diego State Aztecs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| V. Izundu | 29 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 8 | 10 | - |
| T. Kell * | 36 | 3-11 | 2-3 | 5-6 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 12 | - |
| D. Allen * | 34 | 1-6 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 3 | - |
| M. Pope * | 33 | 5-14 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 13 | 15 | - |
| J. Hemsley * | 25 | 3-9 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 0 | - |
| D. Williams | 20 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 4-5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 8 | - |
| Z. Cheatham | 16 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 5 | - |
| M. Shrigley | 13 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 5 | - |
| M. Montana | 12 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| M. Gill-Caesar | 7 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter