Model Predictions
| Model | Northern Arizona Lumberjacks | Portland State Vikings | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 16.8% | 83.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 25.3% | 74.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 37.8% | 62.2% | +2.7 | ✓ (9.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 46.9% | 53.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 48.5% | 51.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 48.7% | 51.3% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 43.4% | 56.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Portland State Vikings +12 (88-76). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Northern Arizona Lumberjacks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R. Coggins * | 40 | 4-10 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 10 | - |
| R. Perez * | 38 | 7-16 | 3-11 | 4-4 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 21 | 5 | - |
| C. Preston * | 33 | 5-15 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 8 | - |
| T. Leyva * | 29 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 6 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 9 | - |
| K. Paplow * | 20 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 8 | - |
| B. Lusain | 18 | 4-9 | 2-3 | 8-10 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 18 | 12 | - |
| K. McDavis | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| B. Cotton | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| P. Carroll | 3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
Portland State Vikings
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. West * | 37 | 6-8 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 10 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 14 | 24 | - |
| S. Rielly * | 36 | 10-16 | 0-2 | 4-5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 24 | 11 | - |
| C. James * | 31 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 6-6 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 12 | 13 | - |
| A. Bolston * | 24 | 4-7 | 1-2 | 2-5 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 5 | - |
| C. West * | 22 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 12 | - |
| A. Torres Negron | 18 | 3-8 | 2-6 | 3-4 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 11 | - |
| K. McNair | 17 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
| T. Streun | 7 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
| M. Kay | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| P. Jurhar | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter