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2017-03-06

Model Predictions

Model Bowling Green Falcons Toledo Rockets Spread Result
Elo 40.7% 59.3% -
Bradley-Terry 26.9% 73.1% -
Margin 14.6% 85.4% +9.7 (5.3 off)

Actual: Toledo Rockets +15 (77-62). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Bowling Green Falcons

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
W. Alcegaire * 30 7-15 2-6 1-1 4 3 0 1 1 17 9 -
D. Frye * 30 2-8 1-2 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 5 -2 -
R. Caldwell * 25 1-4 1-3 4-4 1 1 1 0 0 7 6 -
D. Wiggins * 20 4-6 0-0 2-4 3 1 0 1 1 10 8 -
Z. Denny * 17 3-7 0-2 0-0 1 0 1 0 1 6 0 -
A. Lillard 27 0-5 0-0 4-6 5 3 0 3 1 4 9 -
R. Worrell 20 2-3 0-0 1-2 4 0 0 0 2 5 4 -
I. Ali 19 4-4 0-0 0-0 4 3 0 0 3 8 8 -
M. Hluchoweckyj 8 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -
M. Fox 4 0-1 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 0 0 0 2 -

Toledo Rockets

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Lauf * 34 3-6 2-3 1-3 8 5 1 0 0 9 17 -
J. Williams * 34 6-16 2-6 4-4 4 5 2 0 3 18 10 -
J. Sanford * 32 4-9 1-4 3-3 2 2 2 0 2 12 7 -
S. Taylor Jr. * 27 3-5 0-0 3-4 10 3 0 1 4 9 14 -
L. Knapke * 21 4-5 0-1 4-4 7 2 0 3 0 12 19 -
N. Navigato 29 2-9 2-5 2-2 4 1 1 1 1 8 5 -
J. Roberts 14 1-4 1-3 0-0 1 0 1 0 1 3 0 -
T. Adway 7 2-3 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 1 1 4 3 -
M. Schaffer 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
L. Antunez 1 0-1 0-1 2-2 0 0 0 0 0 2 1 -

* = starter