Model Predictions
| Model | East Carolina Pirates | SMU Mustangs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 56.9% | 43.1% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 43.3% | 56.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 22.8% | 77.2% | +6.7 | ✓ (0.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 69.2% | 30.8% | - | ✗ |
Actual: SMU Mustangs +6 (60-54). Predictions use season-end ratings.
East Carolina Pirates
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Gaffney | 35 | 7-12 | 0-0 | 10-13 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 24 | 18 | - |
| A. Frazier | 34 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 7 | - |
| K. Toure | 32 | 4-11 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 9 | -4 | - |
| A. Bannister | 28 | 2-7 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 1 | - |
| B. McDonald | 28 | 3-14 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | -3 | - |
| J. Gee | 20 | 2-4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 3 | - |
| T. Oliveira | 13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | - |
| D. Claytor | 10 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
SMU Mustangs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Froling | 39 | 7-12 | 0-0 | 9-13 | 12 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 23 | 23 | - |
| M. Adams | 38 | 5-11 | 0-3 | 2-4 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 5 | - |
| K. Perry | 33 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 10 | - |
| M. Bolton | 32 | 2-7 | 0-2 | 3-4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 7 | 1 | - |
| D. Thomas | 16 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 4 | - |
| M. Reese | 15 | 0-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | -3 | - |
| S. Collins | 11 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | - |
| K. Mickens | 8 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
| K. Bradshaw | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| A. Brandt | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| D. Owens | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter