Model Predictions
| Model | VCU Rams | Dayton Flyers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 48.6% | 51.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 27.7% | 72.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 17.8% | 82.2% | +8.4 | ✓ (7.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 28.0% | 72.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Dayton Flyers +16 (77-61). Predictions use season-end ratings.
VCU Rams
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| GG Goodhope | 29 | 5-11 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 8 | - |
| K. Robinson | 28 | 3-15 | 0-4 | 1-1 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 2 | - |
| A. Pegram | 26 | 4-7 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 7 | - |
| M. Rowser | 23 | 1-9 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -4 | - |
| C. Brelove | 22 | 3-11 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 2 | - |
| I. Thorpe | 21 | 3-8 | 2-5 | 3-4 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 10 | - |
| B. Gibson | 18 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 6-8 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 8 | - |
| K. Strong | 16 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | - |
| S. Skinner | 10 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| A. Mitchell | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| J. Maddox | 2 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | - |
| N. Williams | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Dayton Flyers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Austria | 34 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 9 | - |
| J. Burdette | 29 | 8-10 | 3-4 | 4-4 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 23 | 21 | - |
| J. Layfield | 27 | 2-5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 6 | - |
| S. Grant-Allen | 23 | 3-7 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 8 | - |
| A. Harris | 21 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 6-8 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 14 | - |
| J. Wilmoth | 19 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 4 | - |
| J. Scaife | 18 | 1-7 | 0-1 | 1-6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | -4 | - |
| L. Cannatelli | 17 | 3-5 | 3-5 | 2-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 5 | - |
| A. Cvitkovic | 9 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 3 | - |
| C. Macioce | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| A. Parkinson | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| M. Dennis | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter