Model Predictions
| Model | Missouri State Bears | Northern Iowa Panthers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 38.6% | 61.4% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 41.1% | 58.9% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 46.7% | 53.3% | +0.7 | ✗ (6.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 60.3% | 39.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 62.3% | 37.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 62.7% | 37.3% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 47.8% | 52.2% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Northern Iowa Panthers -6 (64-70). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Missouri State Bears
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dequon Miller * | 39 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 9 | 12 | - |
| Alize Johnson * | 35 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 17 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 20 | 35 | - |
| Obediah Church * | 29 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 22 | - |
| Jarred Dixon * | 28 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 9 | - |
| Jarrid Rhodes * | 15 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 8 | - |
| Chris Kendrix | 21 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 16 | - |
| Ryan Kreklow | 19 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 6 | - |
| Jordan Martin | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 4 | - |
| Austin Ruder | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Northern Iowa Panthers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jeremy Morgan * | 40 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 18 | 27 | - |
| Klint Carlson * | 30 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 17 | - |
| Bennett Koch * | 20 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 15 | 24 | - |
| Juwan McCloud * | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Hunter Rhodes | 29 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 11 | - |
| Spencer Haldeman | 23 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 16 | - |
| Ted Friedman | 16 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
* = starter