Model Predictions
| Model | Jacksonville Dolphins | North Florida Ospreys | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 20.7% | 79.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 38.3% | 61.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 31.4% | 68.6% | +4.3 | ✓ (1.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 57.4% | 42.6% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 37.8% | 62.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 37.5% | 62.5% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 40.5% | 59.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: North Florida Ospreys +3 (77-74). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Jacksonville Dolphins
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Fernandez * | 38 | 5-10 | 2-6 | 3-4 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 15 | 13 | - |
| M. White * | 38 | 8-13 | 6-7 | 4-4 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 26 | 19 | - |
| J.R. Holder * | 31 | 6-14 | 1-3 | 3-5 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 8 | - |
| A. Misters * | 27 | 1-5 | 0-3 | 3-4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 2 | - |
| O. El Manasterly * | 18 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 5 | - |
| A. Clayton | 22 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| D. Dawkins | 12 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 3 | - |
| C. Helgeland | 8 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| T. Rubio | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| D. Austin | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
North Florida Ospreys
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dallas Moore * | 38 | 14-23 | 5-10 | 4-4 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 37 | 22 | - |
| Wajid Aminu * | 32 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 9 | 6 | - |
| Aaron Bodager * | 29 | 3-6 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 9 | - |
| Garrett Sams * | 28 | 2-6 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 5 | - |
| Romelo Banks * | 22 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 2-6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 10 | - |
| Chris Davenport | 26 | 2-6 | 0-3 | 1-4 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 8 | - |
| Aaron Horne | 13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Osborn Blount | 12 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
* = starter