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2017-02-05

Model Predictions

Model Notre Dame Fighting Irish North Carolina Tar Heels Spread Result
Elo 13.1% 86.9% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 37.1% 62.9% - โœ“
Margin 12.1% 87.9% +10.9 โœ“ (3.9 off)
Pythagorean 38.5% 61.5% - โœ“
Efficiency 10.8% 89.2% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 11.0% 89.0% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 10.7% 89.3% - โœ“

Actual: North Carolina Tar Heels +7 (83-76). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Notre Dame Fighting Irish

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Steve Vasturia * 38 4-11 0-4 1-2 2 4 0 1 3 9 2 -
Matt Farrell * 37 7-12 4-8 0-0 3 3 0 0 3 18 9 -
V.J. Beachem * 34 6-12 2-7 6-6 1 0 1 1 0 20 11 -
Bonzie Colson * 34 5-11 1-2 6-8 10 3 0 3 2 17 20 -
Austin Torres * 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 0 2 -
Rex Pflueger 23 2-5 2-4 0-0 2 1 0 1 1 6 4 -
T.J. Gibbs 18 0-3 0-1 4-4 0 1 0 0 0 4 2 -
Martinas Geben 8 1-2 0-0 0-0 2 2 0 0 0 2 4 -
John Mooney 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Matt Ryan 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Elijah Burns 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

North Carolina Tar Heels

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Justin Jackson * 37 6-15 2-7 2-4 4 3 0 0 1 16 7 -
J. Berry II * 33 3-10 1-5 5-7 5 7 3 0 4 12 13 -
Isaiah Hicks * 33 6-10 0-0 2-3 7 1 0 1 3 14 10 -
Kenny Williams * 26 4-6 3-4 0-0 3 3 0 0 0 11 11 -
Kennedy Meeks * 16 4-6 0-0 3-6 8 0 1 1 2 11 13 -
Nate Britt 23 0-3 0-1 1-2 1 5 1 0 1 1 4 -
Tony Bradley 17 5-7 0-0 2-3 5 1 0 3 0 12 14 -
Luke Maye 9 2-3 0-0 2-3 3 1 1 0 0 6 8 -
Seventh Woods 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 1 0 0 0 3 -
Brandon Robinson 3 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 1 0 0 2 -

* = starter