Model Predictions
| Model | Atlanta Dream | Phoenix Mercury | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 22.8% | 77.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 26.4% | 73.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 20.7% | 79.3% | +7.4 | ✓ (6.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 40.1% | 59.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 28.3% | 71.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 28.3% | 71.7% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 34.4% | 65.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Phoenix Mercury +14 (84-70). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Atlanta Dream
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elizabeth Williams | 40 | 2-9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | - |
| Brittney Sykes | 33 | 12-19 | 2-5 | 7-11 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 33 | 22 | - |
| S. Lyttle | 27 | 1-6 | 1-1 | 3-4 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 4 | - |
| L. Clarendon | 25 | 0-8 | 0-2 | 2-3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | -6 | - |
| Tiffany Hayes | 23 | 5-9 | 2-4 | 3-3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 9 | - |
| T. Young | 22 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
| M. Ajavon | 9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Bria Holmes | 8 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Damiris Dantas | 7 | 1-6 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | -3 | - |
| A. Henry-Morello | 6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
Phoenix Mercury
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| B. Griner | 37 | 10-17 | 0-0 | 10-12 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 30 | 21 | - |
| Leilani Mitchell | 30 | 4-7 | 2-3 | 8-9 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 18 | 17 | - |
| Diana Taurasi | 27 | 3-12 | 2-10 | 1-1 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 1 | - |
| C. Little | 24 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | - |
| Stephanie Talbot | 22 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 7 | - |
| Emma Cannon | 18 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 9 | - |
| Danielle Robinson | 17 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Yvonne Turner | 15 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | - |
| M. Currie | 8 | 5-6 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 7 | - |
| Alexis Prince | 1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Cayla George | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter