Model Predictions
| Model | Atlanta Dream | Phoenix Mercury | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 16.2% | 83.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 26.7% | 73.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 18.9% | 81.1% | +8.0 | ✓ (6.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 35.3% | 64.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Phoenix Mercury +14 (84-70). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Atlanta Dream
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| E. Williams | 40 | 2-9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | - |
| B. Sykes | 33 | 12-19 | 2-5 | 7-11 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 33 | 22 | - |
| S. Lyttle | 27 | 1-6 | 1-1 | 3-4 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 4 | - |
| L. Clarendon | 25 | 0-8 | 0-2 | 2-3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | -6 | - |
| T. Hayes | 23 | 5-9 | 2-4 | 3-3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 9 | - |
| T. Young | 22 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
| M. Ajavon | 9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| B. Holmes | 8 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
| D. Dantas | 7 | 1-6 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | -3 | - |
| A. Henry-Morello | 6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
Phoenix Mercury
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| B. Griner | 37 | 10-17 | 0-0 | 10-12 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 30 | 21 | - |
| L. Mitchell | 30 | 4-7 | 2-3 | 8-9 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 18 | 17 | - |
| D. Taurasi | 27 | 3-12 | 2-10 | 1-1 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 1 | - |
| C. Little | 24 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | - |
| S. Talbot | 22 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 7 | - |
| E. Cannon | 18 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 9 | - |
| D. Robinson | 17 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Y. Turner | 15 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | - |
| M. Currie | 8 | 5-6 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 7 | - |
| A. Prince | 1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| C. George | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter