Model Predictions
| Model | Connecticut Sun | Los Angeles Sparks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 62.5% | 37.5% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 47.0% | 53.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 60.1% | 39.9% | -2.3 | ✗ (13.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 52.6% | 47.4% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 61.3% | 38.7% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 61.4% | 38.6% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 52.1% | 47.9% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Los Angeles Sparks +11 (81-70). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Connecticut Sun
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Courtney Williams * | 33 | 7-13 | 3-4 | 2-2 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 19 | 12 | - |
| Jonquel Jones * | 31 | 3-6 | 2-2 | 2-4 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 12 | - |
| Alyssa Thomas * | 27 | 3-9 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 5 | - |
| Jasmine Thomas * | 24 | 3-15 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 10 | -3 | - |
| Shekinna Stricklen * | 21 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 7 | - |
| Alex Bentley | 27 | 4-8 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 7 | - |
| Morgan Tuck | 18 | 3-7 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 2 | - |
| Rachel Banham | 6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Brionna Jones | 5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Kayla Pedersen | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Los Angeles Sparks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chelsea Gray * | 33 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 10 | - |
| Candace Parker * | 31 | 5-13 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 14 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 18 | - |
| Odyssey Sims * | 30 | 8-13 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 11 | - |
| Nneka Ogwumike * | 29 | 10-15 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 21 | 17 | - |
| Alana Beard * | 25 | 3-5 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 12 | - |
| Jantel Lavender | 20 | 5-11 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 1 | - |
| Essence Carson | 15 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -1 | - |
| Sydney Wiese | 8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Sandrine Gruda | 2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Tiffany Jackson | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter