Model Predictions
| Model | Connecticut Sun | Phoenix Mercury | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 33.6% | 66.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 52.3% | 47.7% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 54.5% | 45.5% | -1.0 | ✗ (21.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 56.4% | 43.6% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Phoenix Mercury +20 (86-66). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Connecticut Sun
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S. Stricklen | 26 | 3-6 | 2-4 | 1-1 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 11 | - |
| A. Bentley | 26 | 2-8 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 1 | - |
| J. Thomas | 23 | 1-10 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 4 | -1 | - |
| C. Williams | 22 | 2-7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | -1 | - |
| A. Thomas | 22 | 8-11 | 0-0 | 3-8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 19 | 16 | - |
| J. Jones | 20 | 2-6 | 0-3 | 1-1 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 9 | - |
| M. Tuck | 18 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | -2 | - |
| R. Banham | 17 | 1-7 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -3 | - |
| B. Jones | 14 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 14 | - |
| K. Pedersen | 11 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| D. Adams | 3 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
Phoenix Mercury
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| B. Griner | 33 | 10-15 | 0-0 | 11-12 | 8 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 31 | 30 | - |
| C. Little | 30 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 11 | - |
| D. Taurasi | 30 | 6-15 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 9 | - |
| L. Mitchell | 26 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 6 | - |
| Y. Turner | 21 | 3-8 | 1-2 | 6-8 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 9 | - |
| D. Robinson | 20 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 0 | - |
| M. Currie | 17 | 3-7 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 6 | - |
| E. Cannon | 13 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | - |
| S. Talbot | 6 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| C. George | 3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3 | - |
* = starter