Model Predictions
| Model | Phoenix Mercury | Seattle Storm | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 20.7% | 79.3% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 28.0% | 72.0% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 28.4% | 71.6% | +5.1 | ✗ (9.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 42.4% | 57.6% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 32.5% | 67.5% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 32.5% | 67.5% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 36.2% | 63.8% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Seattle Storm -4 (71-75). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Phoenix Mercury
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brittney Griner * | 36 | 12-20 | 0-0 | 5-8 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 29 | 20 | - |
| Diana Taurasi * | 30 | 5-13 | 3-7 | 5-5 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 18 | 9 | - |
| Leilani Mitchell * | 23 | 3-7 | 3-4 | 2-4 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 11 | - |
| Camille Smith * | 20 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | - |
| Yvonne Turner * | 12 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Monique Currie | 25 | 1-8 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6 | - |
| Emma Cannon | 18 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 4 | - |
| Danielle Robinson | 17 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 9 | - |
| Stephanie Talbot | 9 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Cayla George | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Seattle Storm
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jewell Loyd * | 35 | 12-22 | 1-3 | 8-9 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 33 | 19 | - |
| Breanna Stewart * | 34 | 3-9 | 1-2 | 6-9 | 9 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 17 | - |
| Sue Bird * | 33 | 3-10 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 5 | - |
| Crystal Langhorne * | 29 | 3-9 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 3 | - |
| Alysha Clark * | 28 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 7 | - |
| Kaleena Mosqueda-Lewis | 11 | 0-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Carolyn Swords | 10 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 5 | - |
| Noelle Quinn | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Ramu Tokashiki | 5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Sami Whitcomb | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Alexis Peterson | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter