Model Predictions
| Model | Minnesota Lynx | Los Angeles Sparks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 52.6% | 47.4% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 47.0% | 53.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 46.9% | 53.1% | +0.7 | ✓ (10.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 49.4% | 50.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 56.2% | 43.8% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 56.3% | 43.7% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 48.7% | 51.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Los Angeles Sparks +11 (78-67). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Minnesota Lynx
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sylvia Fowles | 39 | 8-13 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 14 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 17 | - |
| M. Moore | 32 | 4-11 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 2 | - |
| J. Perkins | 25 | 0-4 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | - |
| S. Augustus | 24 | 4-8 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 5 | - |
| A. Jones | 21 | 4-8 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 6 | - |
| R. Montgomery | 19 | 3-4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 7 | 4 | - |
| R. Brunson | 19 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 0-2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 5 | - |
| Natasha Howard | 13 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | - |
| P. Pierson | 9 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
Los Angeles Sparks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chelsea Gray | 39 | 6-12 | 1-4 | 3-4 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 17 | - |
| Candace Parker | 36 | 9-17 | 3-6 | 3-5 | 10 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 24 | 20 | - |
| Odyssey Sims | 32 | 5-15 | 0-4 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 1 | - |
| A. Beard | 28 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 7 | - |
| Nneka Ogwumike | 24 | 4-9 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 9 | - |
| E. Carson | 21 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 3 | - |
| Jantel Lavender | 17 | 3-5 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 6 | - |
| T. Jackson-Jones | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter