Model Predictions
| Model | Indiana Fever | Atlanta Dream | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 24.1% | 75.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 33.6% | 66.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 20.1% | 79.9% | +7.6 | ✓ (2.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 32.0% | 68.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Atlanta Dream +5 (79-74). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Indiana Fever
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Dupree | 40 | 6-20 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 2 | - |
| J. Gwathmey | 39 | 7-14 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 16 | 6 | - |
| E. Wheeler | 37 | 10-21 | 3-7 | 0-1 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 23 | 6 | - |
| M. Coleman | 34 | 2-5 | 0-2 | 3-3 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 9 | - |
| N. Achonwa | 27 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 12 | - |
| J. Pohlen-Mavunga | 18 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| E. Larkins | 16 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 9 | - |
| E. McCall | 8 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -2 | - |
| J. Simms | 6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
Atlanta Dream
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| E. Williams | 40 | 7-12 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 15 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 15 | 18 | - |
| T. Hayes | 38 | 6-14 | 1-5 | 11-12 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 24 | 13 | - |
| S. Lyttle | 36 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 14 | - |
| B. Sykes | 34 | 5-17 | 2-6 | 4-6 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 4 | - |
| L. Clarendon | 32 | 4-13 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 9 | - |
| B. Holmes | 16 | 3-3 | 1-1 | 0-3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 9 | - |
| D. Dantas | 12 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
| M. Ajavon | 8 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| T. Young | 8 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| I. McGee-Stafford | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter