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2017-08-25

Model Predictions

Model Washington Mystics New York Liberty Spread Result
Elo 22.7% 77.3% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 34.0% 66.0% - โœ“
Margin 29.4% 70.6% +4.8 โœ“ (3.2 off)
Pythagorean 43.0% 57.0% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 37.4% 62.6% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 37.3% 62.7% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 39.7% 60.3% - โœ“

Actual: New York Liberty +8 (74-66). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Washington Mystics

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Elena Delle Donne 34 6-11 1-2 2-2 4 4 0 0 1 15 11 -
K. Thomas 31 7-9 0-0 3-5 9 0 1 0 0 17 18 -
Emma Meesseman 31 6-10 0-3 0-1 8 3 1 2 2 12 14 -
Kristi Toliver 31 3-10 2-7 3-4 3 2 1 0 3 11 4 -
T. Ruffin-Pratt 28 1-7 0-0 1-2 4 2 0 1 0 3 3 -
Shatori Walker-Kimbrough 13 0-3 0-2 4-4 1 0 2 1 2 4 3 -
I. Latta 12 1-5 0-3 0-0 0 2 0 0 2 2 -3 -
A. Hightower 10 0-4 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 0 -2 -
Tianna Hawkins 10 1-3 0-1 0-0 1 1 1 1 0 2 3 -
A. Taylor 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

New York Liberty

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Tina Charles 38 9-19 1-2 1-2 7 1 3 0 0 20 12 -
S. Zellous 34 6-14 0-1 6-8 5 2 0 0 1 18 10 -
Epiphanny Prince 34 6-11 2-4 6-6 4 2 1 1 1 20 16 -
B. Hartley 26 4-14 2-6 0-0 4 3 1 0 2 10 2 -
Kia Vaughn 25 1-2 0-0 0-0 9 0 1 1 0 2 11 -
S. Rodgers 21 0-9 0-3 0-0 4 0 0 0 2 0 -7 -
Kiah Stokes 15 1-1 0-0 0-0 6 0 1 0 2 2 6 -
Rebecca Allen 3 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 2 2 -
Lindsay Allen 3 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 2 0 0 0 0 1 -
N. Raincock-Ekunwe 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter