Model Predictions
| Model | Los Angeles Sparks | Phoenix Mercury | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 60.9% | 39.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 64.6% | 35.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 64.9% | 35.1% | -3.4 | ✓ (11.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 58.1% | 41.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Phoenix Mercury -15 (67-82). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Los Angeles Sparks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| O. Sims | 35 | 12-19 | 0-2 | 4-4 | 6 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 28 | 25 | - |
| C. Gray | 34 | 5-11 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 6 | - |
| C. Parker | 30 | 5-11 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 8 | - |
| N. Ogwumike | 29 | 9-17 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 10 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 21 | 18 | - |
| A. Beard | 28 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 9 | - |
| E. Carson | 16 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | - |
| J. Lavender | 16 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | - |
| S. Wiese | 6 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3 | - |
| T. Jackson-Jones | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| S. Gruda | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
Phoenix Mercury
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| B. Griner | 31 | 8-14 | 0-0 | 2-5 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 18 | 11 | - |
| C. Little | 28 | 3-9 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 3 | - |
| Y. Turner | 28 | 3-7 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 4 | - |
| L. Mitchell | 23 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 8 | - |
| S. Talbot | 18 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | - |
| M. Currie | 17 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 4 | - |
| D. Robinson | 17 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| A. Prince | 17 | 4-6 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 9 | - |
| E. Cannon | 14 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 8 | - |
| C. George | 7 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
* = starter