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2017-08-20

Model Predictions

Model Washington Mystics Indiana Fever Spread Result
Elo 80.4% 19.6% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 67.6% 32.4% - โœ“
Margin 75.1% 24.9% -6.1 โœ“ (1.1 off)
Pythagorean 67.8% 32.2% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 82.4% 17.6% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 82.6% 17.4% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 63.3% 36.7% - โœ“

Actual: Indiana Fever -5 (82-87). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Washington Mystics

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
T. Ruffin-Pratt 38 5-14 0-0 8-8 4 4 1 2 0 18 15 -
Emma Meesseman 32 7-17 1-3 6-6 8 1 3 0 1 21 15 -
K. Thomas 29 4-8 0-0 1-2 11 2 0 3 0 9 17 -
Kristi Toliver 29 6-12 5-7 1-1 3 3 3 1 0 18 16 -
Shatori Walker-Kimbrough 22 1-6 0-2 2-2 1 1 0 0 2 4 -2 -
I. Latta 17 4-5 1-2 3-4 1 1 2 0 2 12 9 -
Tianna Hawkins 15 1-2 1-1 0-0 2 1 0 0 0 3 4 -
A. Hightower 12 0-6 0-2 2-2 2 1 2 0 0 2 1 -
A. Taylor 6 0-1 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 0 1 0 1 -

Indiana Fever

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
M. Coleman 37 7-10 6-7 0-0 4 1 0 0 1 20 14 -
Candice Dupree 35 9-16 0-0 0-0 5 7 0 2 1 18 15 -
J. Pohlen-Mavunga 27 4-9 3-5 2-2 1 3 2 0 3 13 7 -
E. Larkins 24 3-6 0-0 0-0 8 4 0 0 1 6 11 -
E. Wheeler 23 5-8 0-1 2-2 4 2 1 0 5 12 6 -
Erica McCall 20 2-7 0-0 1-2 7 0 0 0 0 5 5 -
J. Gwathmey 19 2-6 0-1 0-0 5 1 1 0 3 4 2 -
N. Achonwa 16 2-7 0-0 0-0 4 2 0 3 1 4 5 -

* = starter