Model Predictions
| Model | Phoenix Mercury | Connecticut Sun | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 49.7% | 50.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 33.9% | 66.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 20.4% | 79.6% | +7.5 | ✓ (20.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 37.6% | 62.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Connecticut Sun +28 (94-66). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Phoenix Mercury
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| B. Griner | 29 | 7-16 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 18 | 7 | - |
| C. Little | 26 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 8 | - |
| M. Currie | 24 | 3-10 | 2-3 | 4-4 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 7 | - |
| L. Mitchell | 24 | 1-6 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 2 | - |
| D. Taurasi | 22 | 3-11 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 0 | - |
| D. Robinson | 18 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 2 | - |
| S. Talbot | 18 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | - |
| E. Cannon | 16 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 8 | - |
| Y. Turner | 10 | 1-6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -2 | - |
| C. George | 9 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -1 | - |
| A. Prince | 4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
Connecticut Sun
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S. Stricklen | 32 | 4-7 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 9 | - |
| J. Jones | 30 | 8-11 | 1-2 | 3-3 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 20 | 20 | - |
| C. Williams | 29 | 8-14 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 9 | - |
| A. Thomas | 28 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 7-11 | 12 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 17 | 29 | - |
| J. Thomas | 27 | 6-12 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 8 | - |
| A. Bentley | 17 | 3-7 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 3 | - |
| M. Tuck | 14 | 0-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| R. Banham | 9 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 5 | - |
| B. Jones | 5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5 | - |
| K. Pedersen | 5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| D. Adams | 2 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter