Model Predictions
| Model | Atlanta Dream | Dallas Wings | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 26.8% | 73.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 31.7% | 68.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 28.3% | 71.7% | +5.1 | ✓ (1.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 39.9% | 60.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Dallas Wings +4 (90-86). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Atlanta Dream
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Hayes | 36 | 6-17 | 1-6 | 9-10 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 22 | 6 | - |
| B. Sykes | 34 | 7-15 | 2-4 | 1-3 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 11 | - |
| E. Williams | 32 | 6-12 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 13 | 12 | - |
| S. Lyttle | 27 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 9 | - |
| M. Ajavon | 25 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 5 | - |
| L. Clarendon | 15 | 4-11 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 2 | - |
| D. Dantas | 14 | 2-4 | 1-1 | 3-4 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 13 | - |
| T. Young | 12 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | - |
| A. Henry-Morello | 3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
| I. McGee-Stafford | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Dallas Wings
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G. Johnson | 34 | 6-15 | 3-4 | 8-10 | 13 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 23 | 22 | - |
| Diggins-Smith | 34 | 5-13 | 3-3 | 4-6 | 7 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 22 | - |
| T. Plaisance | 33 | 4-10 | 3-6 | 1-2 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 12 | 14 | - |
| A. Gray | 27 | 4-10 | 0-1 | 7-10 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 15 | 9 | - |
| K. Christmas-Kelly | 25 | 3-8 | 1-2 | 4-4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 6 | - |
| A. Powers | 21 | 5-14 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 6 | - |
| K. Thornton | 12 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| S. Chong | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - |
| K. Davis | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| C. Paris | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter