Model Predictions
| Model | San Antonio Stars | Seattle Storm | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 37.2% | 62.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 25.5% | 74.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 15.7% | 84.3% | +9.2 | ✓ (8.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 31.9% | 68.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 20.6% | 79.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 20.6% | 79.4% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 30.8% | 69.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Seattle Storm +1 (79-78). Predictions use season-end ratings.
San Antonio Stars
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kayla McBride | 38 | 7-14 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 18 | 5 | - |
| Dearica Hamby | 36 | 9-13 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 10 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 19 | 17 | - |
| Isabelle Harrison | 35 | 5-12 | 0-0 | 4-5 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 16 | - |
| Kelsey Plum | 34 | 5-10 | 2-5 | 3-3 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 15 | 8 | - |
| A. Montgomery | 26 | 2-6 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 9 | - |
| Sydney Colson | 9 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
| S. Murphy | 6 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Nia Coffey | 6 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| S. Holmes | 6 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
| K. Alexander | 3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | - |
Seattle Storm
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Breanna Stewart | 34 | 7-19 | 2-6 | 6-7 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 22 | 18 | - |
| Jewell Loyd | 33 | 7-12 | 2-5 | 2-4 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 12 | - |
| S. Bird | 32 | 6-14 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 1 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 10 | - |
| C. Langhorne | 31 | 4-8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 7 | - |
| Alysha Clark | 26 | 2-4 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 8 | - |
| R. Tokashiki | 14 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 4 | - |
| K. Mosqueda-Lewis | 10 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Sami Whitcomb | 10 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| N. Quinn | 5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| A. Peterson | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| C. Swords | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter