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2017-08-18

Model Predictions

Model Las Vegas Aces Seattle Storm Spread Result
Elo 9.9% 90.1% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 16.2% 83.8% - โœ“
Margin 12.2% 87.8% +10.9 โœ“ (9.9 off)
Pythagorean 33.6% 66.4% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 14.3% 85.7% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 14.3% 85.7% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 25.4% 74.6% - โœ“

Actual: Seattle Storm +1 (79-78). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Las Vegas Aces

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Kayla McBride * 37 7-14 4-7 0-0 3 1 0 0 3 18 5 -
Isabelle Harrison * 35 5-12 0-0 4-5 12 2 0 1 1 14 16 -
Kelsey Plum * 34 5-10 2-5 3-3 4 5 0 0 6 15 8 -
Alex Montgomery * 26 2-6 1-4 0-0 6 3 1 1 1 5 9 -
Kayla Alexander * 3 1-1 0-0 1-2 1 1 0 0 0 3 4 -
Dearica Hamby 35 9-13 1-2 0-0 10 1 2 1 3 19 17 -
Sydney Colson 9 1-2 0-0 0-0 0 1 2 0 1 2 2 -
Shay Murphy 6 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 -
Sequoia Holmes 6 0-2 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -2 -
Nia Coffey 5 1-2 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 1 1 2 1 -

Seattle Storm

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Breanna Stewart * 33 7-19 2-6 6-7 9 3 1 3 1 22 18 -
Jewell Loyd * 33 7-12 2-5 2-4 3 4 0 0 1 18 12 -
Crystal Langhorne * 31 4-8 0-1 0-0 4 1 3 1 2 8 7 -
Sue Bird * 31 6-14 2-7 0-0 1 6 3 0 0 14 10 -
Alysha Clark * 26 2-4 0-2 2-2 2 2 2 0 0 6 8 -
Ramu Tokashiki 14 3-4 0-0 1-1 1 0 1 0 1 7 4 -
Sami Whitcomb 10 0-3 0-1 0-0 1 1 1 0 1 0 -1 -
Kaleena Mosqueda-Lewis 10 1-2 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 2 1 -
Noelle Quinn 5 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 1 0 2 3 -
Alexis Peterson 2 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
Carolyn Swords 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter