Model Predictions
| Model | Los Angeles Sparks | Chicago Sky | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 51.0% | 49.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 76.1% | 23.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 61.3% | 38.7% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 63.5% | 36.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 80.2% | 19.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 80.2% | 19.8% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 63.2% | 36.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Chicago Sky -9 (106-115). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Los Angeles Sparks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chelsea Gray * | 47 | 7-17 | 4-6 | 2-2 | 5 | 10 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 20 | 22 | - |
| Nneka Ogwumike * | 46 | 13-24 | 2-3 | 4-5 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 32 | 23 | - |
| Alana Beard * | 41 | 1-7 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 10 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 12 | - |
| Odyssey Sims * | 40 | 6-17 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 0 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 10 | - |
| Candace Parker * | 40 | 11-22 | 3-7 | 4-4 | 12 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 29 | 27 | - |
| Essence Carson | 20 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 7 | - |
| Jantel Lavender | 12 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 6 | - |
Chicago Sky
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Allie Quigley * | 45 | 8-17 | 4-9 | 6-6 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 26 | 21 | - |
| Courtney Vandersloot * | 44 | 9-13 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 8 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 22 | 25 | - |
| Stefanie Dolson * | 44 | 8-15 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 10 | 8 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 18 | 20 | - |
| Jessica Breland * | 31 | 4-10 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 10 | 7 | - |
| Kahleah Copper * | 14 | 1-6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -2 | - |
| Cappie Pondexter | 31 | 7-12 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 16 | 6 | - |
| Jordan Hooper | 21 | 2-5 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 5 | - |
| Bashaara Graves | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Amber Harris | 7 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | - |
* = starter