Model Predictions
| Model | Dallas Wings | Connecticut Sun | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 34.3% | 65.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 28.7% | 71.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 13.1% | 86.9% | +10.4 | ✓ (2.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 33.0% | 67.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Connecticut Sun +8 (96-88). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Dallas Wings
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Diggins-Smith | 38 | 4-14 | 1-5 | 10-10 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 19 | 14 | - |
| G. Johnson | 37 | 7-13 | 2-5 | 4-4 | 12 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 20 | 24 | - |
| K. Christmas-Kelly | 33 | 4-8 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 6 | - |
| A. Gray | 30 | 7-13 | 2-3 | 5-6 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 21 | 15 | - |
| A. Powers | 22 | 4-15 | 1-6 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 0 | - |
| K. Thornton | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - |
| C. Paris | 11 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -1 | - |
| K. Davis | 8 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 4-4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 3 | - |
| T. Plaisance | 5 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -3 | - |
| S. Chong | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| B. Lewis | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
Connecticut Sun
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Jones | 36 | 4-9 | 0-1 | 11-14 | 16 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 19 | 35 | - |
| A. Bentley | 35 | 5-15 | 0-5 | 2-2 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 5 | - |
| A. Thomas | 34 | 9-15 | 0-0 | 3-5 | 13 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 21 | 19 | - |
| S. Stricklen | 31 | 5-11 | 3-7 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 15 | 5 | - |
| C. Williams | 29 | 8-15 | 0-1 | 3-3 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 10 | - |
| J. Thomas | 14 | 2-6 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 0 | - |
| M. Tuck | 9 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| K. Pedersen | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| R. Banham | 6 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
* = starter