Model Predictions
| Model | Phoenix Mercury | Dallas Wings | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 57.3% | 42.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 48.9% | 51.1% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 48.5% | 51.5% | +0.3 | ✗ (1.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 51.8% | 48.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Dallas Wings -1 (100-101). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Phoenix Mercury
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Robinson | 41 | 7-9 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 5 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 17 | 18 | - |
| E. Cannon | 38 | 8-14 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 9 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 17 | 14 | - |
| M. Currie | 36 | 11-19 | 2-5 | 5-7 | 5 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 29 | 24 | - |
| D. Taurasi | 36 | 5-16 | 2-9 | 4-4 | 2 | 7 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 16 | 11 | - |
| C. Little | 22 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | - |
| C. George | 18 | 3-5 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 10 | - |
| S. Talbot | 14 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 8 | - |
| A. Robinson | 13 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | - |
| Y. Turner | 5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
| L. Mitchell | 4 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
Dallas Wings
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Diggins-Smith | 41 | 3-14 | 1-2 | 6-6 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 13 | 10 | - |
| G. Johnson | 40 | 8-15 | 0-1 | 9-11 | 15 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 25 | 26 | - |
| K. Christmas-Kelly | 35 | 2-8 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 10 | - |
| A. Gray | 34 | 7-13 | 0-3 | 5-6 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 19 | 15 | - |
| A. Powers | 19 | 3-8 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 1 | - |
| C. Paris | 16 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 7 | - |
| K. Thornton | 14 | 4-8 | 2-3 | 5-6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 9 | - |
| T. Plaisance | 14 | 3-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 5 | - |
| K. Davis | 7 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -4 | - |
| S. Chong | 4 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
* = starter