Model Predictions
| Model | New York Liberty | Los Angeles Sparks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 37.5% | 62.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 28.3% | 71.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 17.5% | 82.5% | +8.5 | ✓ (4.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 41.6% | 58.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 24.5% | 75.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 24.5% | 75.5% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 32.1% | 67.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Los Angeles Sparks +13 (87-74). Predictions use season-end ratings.
New York Liberty
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S. Zellous | 28 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 7 | - |
| S. Rodgers | 26 | 3-9 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 4 | - |
| B. Hartley | 24 | 5-10 | 2-6 | 4-5 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 11 | - |
| Tina Charles | 23 | 5-12 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 10 | 1 | - |
| Kiah Stokes | 22 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 9 | - |
| Lindsay Allen | 16 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Epiphanny Prince | 14 | 2-6 | 0-3 | 1-1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | -1 | - |
| N. Raincock-Ekunwe | 13 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 3-5 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 11 | - |
| Rebecca Allen | 12 | 2-5 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | - |
| Kia Vaughn | 12 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | - |
| Amanda Zahui B | 10 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 6 | - |
Los Angeles Sparks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Odyssey Sims | 35 | 7-16 | 1-3 | 5-5 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 20 | 8 | - |
| Nneka Ogwumike | 30 | 6-12 | 1-2 | 4-4 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 14 | - |
| Chelsea Gray | 29 | 5-9 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 11 | - |
| A. Beard | 27 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | - |
| Candace Parker | 27 | 8-13 | 3-6 | 5-9 | 4 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 24 | 21 | - |
| R. Williams | 21 | 3-13 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | -2 | - |
| Jantel Lavender | 17 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 2 | - |
| Sydney Wiese | 6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | - |
| T. Jackson-Jones | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| M. Diarra | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| S. Gruda | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter