Model Predictions
| Model | Washington Mystics | Las Vegas Aces | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 61.9% | 38.1% | -3.2 | ✗ (5.2 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 61.6% | 38.4% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 67.1% | 32.9% | -3.9 | ✗ (5.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 56.3% | 43.7% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 69.7% | 30.3% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 69.8% | 30.2% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 55.8% | 44.2% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Las Vegas Aces +2 (76-74). Ratings: 2018 season-end ratings.
Washington Mystics
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kristi Toliver * | 36 | 7-14 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 18 | 7 | - |
| Krystal Thomas * | 36 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3-6 | 20 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 24 | - |
| Tierra Ruffin-Pratt * | 30 | 8-13 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 17 | 7 | - |
| Emma Meesseman * | 29 | 6-14 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 9 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 15 | 17 | - |
| Shatori Walker-Kimbrough * | 17 | 3-6 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 4 | - |
| Ivory Latta | 18 | 2-8 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | -3 | - |
| Allison Hightower | 14 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | - |
| Tianna Hawkins | 13 | 1-6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -4 | - |
| Asia Taylor | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | - |
Las Vegas Aces
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Isabelle Harrison * | 32 | 8-13 | 0-0 | 4-5 | 10 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 20 | 20 | - |
| Kayla McBride * | 32 | 4-13 | 1-6 | 3-5 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 5 | - |
| Kelsey Plum * | 30 | 2-8 | 1-4 | 4-4 | 3 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 15 | - |
| Alex Montgomery * | 24 | 4-8 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 9 | - |
| Kayla Alexander * | 20 | 6-10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 8 | - |
| Moriah Jefferson | 16 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | -3 | - |
| Dearica Hamby | 15 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | - |
| Sequoia Holmes | 12 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 5 | - |
| Nia Coffey | 9 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | - |
| Shay Murphy | 4 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
| Erika de Souza | 1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
* = starter