Model Predictions
| Model | Phoenix Mercury | Connecticut Sun | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 49.7% | 50.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 33.9% | 66.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 20.4% | 79.6% | +7.5 | ✓ (6.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 37.6% | 62.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Connecticut Sun +1 (93-92). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Phoenix Mercury
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Little | 31 | 6-14 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 9 | - |
| D. Taurasi | 30 | 12-18 | 4-7 | 5-5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 33 | 16 | - |
| L. Mitchell | 24 | 5-7 | 5-7 | 2-2 | 3 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 20 | - |
| A. Robinson | 22 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | - |
| S. Talbot | 22 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 5 | - |
| M. Currie | 21 | 3-9 | 2-6 | 2-2 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 7 | - |
| D. Robinson | 16 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | - |
| E. Cannon | 14 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | - |
| C. George | 13 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Y. Turner | 7 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
Connecticut Sun
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Thomas | 36 | 7-12 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 18 | 15 | - |
| J. Jones | 34 | 5-9 | 0-1 | 9-9 | 15 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 19 | 29 | - |
| A. Bentley | 33 | 6-16 | 1-5 | 3-3 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 7 | - |
| S. Stricklen | 28 | 3-7 | 1-5 | 4-6 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 6 | - |
| C. Williams | 27 | 5-12 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 3 | - |
| J. Thomas | 13 | 6-8 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 10 | - |
| K. Pedersen | 11 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| B. Jones | 7 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| R. Banham | 7 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| M. Tuck | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter