Model Predictions
| Model | San Antonio Stars | Phoenix Mercury | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 18.2% | 81.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 18.1% | 81.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 13.9% | 86.1% | +10.0 | ✓ (7.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 27.9% | 72.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Phoenix Mercury +17 (81-64). Predictions use season-end ratings.
San Antonio Stars
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| I. Harrison | 32 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 13 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 10 | 10 | - |
| K. McBride | 29 | 5-12 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 8 | - |
| K. Plum | 29 | 2-11 | 0-4 | 5-6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 9 | -5 | - |
| D. Hamby | 22 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 3-6 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 10 | - |
| A. Montgomery | 21 | 1-10 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -1 | - |
| S. Murphy | 18 | 4-5 | 3-3 | 3-4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 11 | - |
| S. Colson | 14 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 | - |
| N. Coffey | 10 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | - |
| S. Holmes | 9 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| E. de Souza | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| K. Alexander | 6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
Phoenix Mercury
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Little | 27 | 4-9 | 0-2 | 1-1 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 5 | - |
| D. Robinson | 26 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 12 | - |
| M. Currie | 24 | 6-12 | 4-7 | 4-4 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 20 | 16 | - |
| D. Taurasi | 24 | 4-9 | 3-6 | 2-2 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 13 | - |
| C. George | 22 | 2-7 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 4 | - |
| A. Robinson | 20 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 5 | - |
| L. Mitchell | 15 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | - |
| S. Talbot | 13 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Y. Turner | 11 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | - |
| E. Cannon | 11 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 7-8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 8 | - |
| A. Prince | 7 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
* = starter