Model Predictions
| Model | Indiana Fever | Connecticut Sun | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 10.8% | 89.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 14.4% | 85.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 4.6% | 95.4% | +16.6 | ✓ (0.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 15.6% | 84.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Connecticut Sun +16 (89-73). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Indiana Fever
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| E. McCall | 29 | 2-9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 4 | - |
| M. Coleman | 25 | 1-6 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 6 | - |
| E. Wheeler | 24 | 5-11 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 4 | - |
| T. Mitchell | 24 | 3-9 | 1-2 | 3-3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 10 | 0 | - |
| B. January | 23 | 3-9 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 3 | - |
| J. Gwathmey | 22 | 6-12 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 13 | 9 | - |
| N. Achonwa | 15 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | - |
| J. Hamson | 15 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 11 | 10 | - |
| J. Pohlen-Mavunga | 13 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| E. Larkins | 10 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 2 | - |
Connecticut Sun
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Bentley | 27 | 4-8 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 11 | - |
| S. Stricklen | 27 | 1-4 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4 | - |
| J. Thomas | 24 | 6-13 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 6 | - |
| J. Jones | 24 | 4-6 | 1-1 | 5-6 | 13 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 14 | 25 | - |
| A. Thomas | 23 | 6-11 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 5 | 8 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 18 | - |
| C. Williams | 20 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 11 | - |
| M. Tuck | 17 | 2-8 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | -3 | - |
| R. Banham | 12 | 2-7 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 3 | - |
| K. Pedersen | 10 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | - |
| B. Jones | 7 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 5 | - |
| L. Kizer | 5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| D. Adams | 4 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -1 | - |
* = starter