Model Predictions
| Model | Phoenix Mercury | Chicago Sky | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 58.6% | 41.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 61.6% | 38.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 60.1% | 39.9% | -2.3 | ✓ (3.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 56.4% | 43.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 68.6% | 31.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 68.7% | 31.3% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 55.1% | 44.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Chicago Sky -6 (80-86). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Phoenix Mercury
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Little | 31 | 7-15 | 1-3 | 4-4 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 8 | - |
| Diana Taurasi | 29 | 2-8 | 0-3 | 5-5 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 5 | - |
| Cayla George | 27 | 5-11 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 14 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 14 | 22 | - |
| Danielle Robinson | 22 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 7-8 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 9 | 11 | - |
| Alexis Prince | 20 | 2-7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 4 | - |
| Leilani Mitchell | 17 | 0-4 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - |
| A. Robinson | 17 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 12 | - |
| M. Currie | 14 | 3-7 | 2-4 | 10-12 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 18 | 16 | - |
| Yvonne Turner | 10 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 6 | - |
| Stephanie Talbot | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Emma Cannon | 5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
Chicago Sky
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Allie Quigley | 35 | 7-12 | 4-8 | 1-1 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 19 | 12 | - |
| Courtney Vandersloot | 35 | 5-12 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 11 | - |
| S. Dolson | 34 | 13-21 | 1-4 | 2-3 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 29 | 19 | - |
| J. Breland | 29 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 12 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 16 | - |
| T. Young | 27 | 3-9 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 2 | - |
| C. Pondexter | 17 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | - |
| A. Harris | 7 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Cheyenne Parker-Tyus | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Kahleah Copper | 6 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -5 | - |
| K. Hampton | 3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter