Model Predictions
| Model | New York Liberty | Minnesota Lynx | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 27.6% | 72.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 25.0% | 75.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 11.9% | 88.1% | +11.0 | ✓ (10.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 39.3% | 60.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 17.7% | 82.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 17.6% | 82.4% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 27.5% | 72.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Minnesota Lynx +1 (76-75). Predictions use season-end ratings.
New York Liberty
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tina Charles | 36 | 10-20 | 1-3 | 3-4 | 16 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 24 | 22 | - |
| Epiphanny Prince | 27 | 8-15 | 1-2 | 2-3 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 14 | - |
| B. Hartley | 22 | 3-10 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | -3 | - |
| S. Rodgers | 20 | 1-9 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -4 | - |
| Lindsay Allen | 18 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | - |
| Rebecca Allen | 17 | 3-6 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 8 | - |
| Kia Vaughn | 16 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
| S. Zellous | 16 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 5-6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 3 | - |
| Kiah Stokes | 15 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| N. Raincock-Ekunwe | 9 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 7 | - |
| Amanda Zahui B | 5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Minnesota Lynx
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sylvia Fowles | 33 | 6-9 | 0-0 | 6-6 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 18 | 21 | - |
| M. Moore | 32 | 11-20 | 3-5 | 2-3 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 27 | 14 | - |
| S. Augustus | 31 | 3-9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 3 | - |
| R. Brunson | 27 | 0-7 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 5 | - |
| L. Whalen | 26 | 5-8 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 6 | - |
| P. Pierson | 17 | 3-9 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 8 | - |
| J. Perkins | 17 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | - |
| R. Montgomery | 14 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Natasha Howard | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
* = starter